Prediction Engine v2 · Simulated race outcomes · Target RW14 · Madring, Madrid

Team Calculator

Tap a league member to auto-load their latest squad, or build a lineup from scratch with the team-colored driver and constructor chips. The optimizer enumerates every legal lineup and returns the top-5 with a % upside vs your current team.

Prediction Engine v2Spain · MadridRound 14 · data through R13 · 4,000 simulated races · run b7990f4b

Every card below comes from full race simulations — qualifying order, finishing order, retirements, places gained and bonuses — with cars, teammates and race incidents moving together rather than independently. Prices, value over replacement and expected price moves are worked out separately from the points, so a strong pick can still be poor value.

Confidence spread

3 very high5 high15 medium10 low

Model agreement

drivers ±2.4 pts · constructors ±3.5 pts

Best value right now

CAD +$9.3M · BOT +$8.2M · ANT +$7.5M

Spain · Madrid has no comparable past race, so track-specific form is modelled from similar circuits and confidence is marked down accordingly.

Locked pre-race snapshot

No snapshot stored for this round yet. One is written automatically before the weekend, and it is what the model is graded against afterwards.

Current team

Load a league member
Drivers (0/5) · pick a 2× boost
Constructors (0/2)
Free transfers
Cost
$0.0M
Bank
$100.0M
Spendable
$100.0M
+ sale value of drops
Gross (with 2×)

Fill 5 drivers, 2 constructors, tap 2× on your boosted driver, and keep cost within budget to run the optimizer.

Optimizer

Next up · Round 14Permanent
Spanish
Madrid
Driver avg
New circuit
Constructor avg
New circuit

Methodology

Deterministic search over a projection distribution, penalised by transfer cost.