Elite Data
Everything under the scoreboard. Every squad, captain call, chip, transfer and price move from all 13 rounds — the raw material for figuring out who is actually good and who has just been lucky. Best global race rank so far: #3.1K by Cyrus in Japan.
Ownership grid
How many of the 8 managers owned each asset, round by round. Bright cells are the herd; single-owner cells are the differentials.
Cells outlined in accent colour were captained by at least one manager that round.
Captain report
Bonus points earned by the x2 pick, compared with the perfect choice from the same squad. Accuracy is how much of the available boost was actually banked.
- 70
- Avg boost pick
- ANT · 124
- Best call
- ANT · -8
- Worst call
- -70
- Points left behind
- 74
- Avg boost pick
- ANT · 124
- Best call
- ANT · -8
- Worst call
- -17
- Points left behind
- 69
- Avg boost pick
- ANT · 126
- Best call
- ANT · -8
- Worst call
- -17
- Points left behind
- 69
- Avg boost pick
- ANT · 124
- Best call
- ANT · -8
- Worst call
- -17
- Points left behind
- 64
- Avg boost pick
- ANT · 124
- Best call
- ANT · -8
- Worst call
- -91
- Points left behind
- 54
- Avg boost pick
- ANT · 124
- Best call
- LEC · -12
- Worst call
- -89
- Points left behind
- 56
- Avg boost pick
- ANT · 100
- Best call
- LEC · -26
- Worst call
- -56
- Points left behind
- 46
- Avg boost pick
- LEC · 108
- Best call
- LEC · -26
- Worst call
- -79
- Points left behind
Masterstrokes
Highest scoring single selections, boost included
Anchors
The selections that cost the most
Differentials
Picks owned by exactly one manager in a round, scored against that round's field average. Net edge is the total points gained or lost by going it alone.
- +55Charles Leclercx2Brian · R10 Belgium · field avg 23
- +53Lewis HamiltonJon · R7 Spain · field avg 3
- +25George RussellJon · R7 Spain · field avg 3
- +24Max VerstappenCyrus · R1 Australia · field avg 26
- +23Red Bull RacingScooter · R10 Belgium · field avg 56
- +20Oscar PiastriCyrus · R3 Japan · field avg 23
- -55AudiJon · R1 Australia · field avg 55
- -51Racing BullsCyrus · R12 Netherlands · field avg 76
- -49Isack HadjarMatt · R12 Netherlands · field avg 14
- -46Nico HülkenbergMatt · R1 Australia · field avg 26
- -45Racing BullsCyrus · R2 China · field avg 95
- -44Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls card)Brian · R13 Monza · field avg 19
Transfer efficiency
Every swap has a measured points impact. Impact per transfer separates the surgeons from the fiddlers.
Chip log
Every chip burned this season, when it was played, and what the sheet says it was worth.
- R1Brian · AustraliaNN · No Negative256+25
- R2Ian · ChinaLL · Limitless481+128
- R2James · ChinaLL · Limitless481+144
- R2Scooter · ChinaLL · Limitless481+144
- R3Chris · JapanAP · Autopilot1660
- R3Cyrus · JapanLL · Limitless368+195
- R4Chris · United StatesWC · Wildcard237+20
- R4Ian · United StatesNN · No Negative257+75
- R4James · United StatesWC · Wildcard232+10
- R4Matt · United StatesWC · Wildcard239+40
- R4Scooter · United StatesWC · Wildcard207+30
- R5Ian · CanadaWC · Wildcard267+40
- R5James · CanadaNN · No Negative337+43
- R5Scooter · CanadaFF · Final Fix267+46
- R6Cyrus · MonacoNN · No Negative140+80
- R6James · MonacoFF · Final Fix182+8
- R6Jon · MonacoNN · No Negative245+30
- R7Jon · SpainLL · Limitless195+103
- R8Cyrus · AustriaX3 · Extra DRS271+62
- R9Ian · Great BritainAP · Autopilot2830
- R9Jon · Great BritainX3 · Extra DRS295+41
- R9Matt · Great BritainLL · Limitless368+109
- R11Matt · HungaryFF · Final Fix240+4
- R12Chris · NetherlandsExtra DRS Boost (X3) · Chip315—
- R13Matt · MonzaAutopilot (AP) · Chip281—
Value generated
Cumulative price change earned across the season — the purchasing power war.
Biggest risers
Drivers and constructors whose price grew most while owned in this league.
- +$7.2MRacing BullsTEAM20 total selections
- +$4.2MLiam Lawson50 total selections
- +$4.2MFranco Colapinto30 total selections
- +$3.9MFerrariTEAM94 total selections
- +$3.9MMercedesTEAM73 total selections
- +$3.1MKimi Antonelli66 total selections
- +$2.8MGabriel Bortoleto59 total selections
- +$2.4MArvid Lindblad57 total selections
Team sheets
Every lineup, every round: five drivers, two constructors, the boost, the chip and the transfers behind it.
League simulation
Every manager, same 2,000 weekends
Spain · Madrid · Every squad is replayed through the same simulated weekends, so shared drivers move together rather than as independent bets. Average gap between the top and bottom squad is 148.2 pts, and the typical pair of squads shares 59% of their cards.
| # | Manager | Expected | Bad weekend | Ceiling | Win % | Top 3 % | Avg finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James AdamsANT · BOR · ALB · HUL · LEC · MER · FER · x2 ANT | 250.8 | 146.5 | 316.8 | 27.2% | 71.3% | 2.7 |
| 2 | Scooter ScottANT · HUL · BOT · STR · LEC · MER · FER · x2 ANT | 249.7 | 146.9 | 315.6 | 24.7% | 68.9% | 2.9 |
| 3 | Ian DyckANT · HUL · BOT · ALO · LEC · MER · FER · x2 ANT | 242.5 | 139.2 | 308.6 | 14.3% | 55.7% | 3.4 |
| 4 | Jon CaldwellANT · BOR · HUL · PER · LIN · MER · FER · x2 ANT | 236.9 | 136.8 | 298.2 | 14.1% | 48.6% | 3.5 |
| 5 | Chris DriolCOL · ANT · BOR · HUL · LIN · MER · FER · x2 COL | 208.6 | 117.5 | 277.3 | 7.8% | 21.9% | 5.0 |
| 6 | Matt LockVER · BOR · GAS · HUL · LIN · MER · FER · x2 VER | 197.9 | 118.8 | 259.7 | 6.5% | 19.7% | 5.3 |
| 7 | Brian McNarryLEC · BOR · HUL · PER · VRB_LAW · MER · FER · x2 LEC | 167.5 | 66.9 | 237.0 | 0.6% | 3.6% | 6.6 |
| 8 | Cyrus LiLEC · HAM · LAW · HUL · LIN · VRB · FER · x2 LEC | 164.5 | 54.1 | 247.1 | 5.1% | 10.4% | 6.5 |
Rosters are the locked Round 13 squads. "Bad weekend" is the average of the worst 10% of simulations; win % counts the weekends where that squad tops the league.
Projected vs Actual
How our pre-race projections held up against the scored results. Actuals never overwrite a projection — both are kept so prediction error can train future recommendations.
R12 · Dutch GP · Zandvoort
League prediction model · Post-sprint, pre-qualifying- Assets scored
- 33
- Avg points error
- 9.3
- Avg price error
- $0.15M
- Correlation
- 0.87
Biggest miss: Red Bull Racing — projected 47.8, actual 11 (−36.8 pts).
Round 13 · Italian GP · Monza has no stored pre-race snapshot, so it is not scored for accuracy yet.
Season replay
Every scored round is forecast again from scratch, using only the results and prices that existed before that weekend — the Monaco appeal correction stays invisible to any round before it landed. Lower average miss is better.
Replaying the season…
Calibration bench
Each set of settings is graded on the same season replay. Two things matter: how far the headline forecast lands from the real score, and whether the range we quote actually contains the result four times in five. Lower score is better.
Grading every settings option…